With the continuous popularization of the concept of green, energy-saving and low-carbon life, energy-saving and environmentally-friendly products have been increasingly valued by the society. The green lighting represented by LED has begun to penetrate the traditional market with its outstanding advantages, and has set off a new field in the field of lighting. revolution. China's semiconductor lighting industry has become one of the fastest-growing regions in the transformation and upgrading of the global lighting industry, and has developed from a big to strong. In 2014, China's semiconductor lighting industry is ushered in an inflection point, product prices continue to decline, and the terminal market is welcoming an unprecedented period of growth opportunities.
In 2013, the overall scale of China's semiconductor lighting industry reached 257.6 billion yuan, an increase of 34% from 2012's 190.2 billion yuan, becoming the year of rapid development of the domestic semiconductor lighting industry after 2010. Among them, the upstream epitaxial chip scale reached 10.5 billion yuan, the midstream package size reached 40.3 billion yuan, and the downstream application scale exceeded 200 billion yuan, reaching 206.8 billion yuan.
At the same time, the development of the lighting industry is mainly affected by various factors such as government policies, manufacturing costs and the willingness of end users to purchase. According to the "China's roadmap for phasing out incandescent lamps", from October 1 this year, China will ban the import and sale of incandescent lamps for general lighting of 60W and above. Compared with traditional energy-saving lamps, LED lighting products are more energy-efficient and environmentally friendly, so LED lamps will have a broad market space instead of incandescent lamps. At the same time, the state supports the energy conservation and environmental protection industry, and the LED industry is a strategic emerging industry. LED lamps are more prominent in terms of energy conservation and environmental protection, and their market prospects are also expected by the industry.
In 2013, due to the dual role of light source cost reduction and policy promotion, the penetration rate of LED lighting products increased rapidly, and the market sentiment continued to increase. In 2013, the output of domestic LED lighting products exceeded 810 million, and the domestic sales volume was about 400 million. The penetration rate of LED lamps in the domestic market reached 8.9, which was nearly 5 percentage points higher than last year's 3.3, especially in the commercial lighting field. Obviously, according to incomplete statistics, the penetration rate of LED lamps in the commercial lighting field has exceeded 12.
From August 2013 to March 2014, the price of Taobao LED bulbs dropped from 8.08 yuan/W to 6.10 yuan/W, a drop of 24.5. The export price of bulbs dropped by 66 in two years, but from the data embodiment, The rate of price decline has slowed significantly, and there has been a significant mitigation of price wars, but prices will continue to fall further.
In addition, the multi-country joint promotion of incandescent bans and the various energy-saving policies promulgated by the Chinese government are favorable conditions for the development of LED lighting. In the past decade, the average annual growth rate of China's output value was 39, and the output value of 2013 was 257.6 billion yuan. Industrial agglomeration, the four major regions in 2013 LED lighting market started, the application value accounted for more than 1/3. Next, China's LED industry will usher in a golden period of development.
On the one hand, due to technological advancement and scale production, the cost of component packaging and application has dropped rapidly, resulting in the sales price of LED lighting products gradually approaching the price of traditional lamps.
According to the US Department of Energy, by 2020, the cost of LED chips will be reduced by 82 compared with 2013, the cost of LED packaging will be reduced by 78, 60 watts, and the cost of LED chips will be reduced by 66. The cost reduction will be the main factor to promote the penetration of LED lighting products. one of the reasons.
On the other hand, the continuous investment of the government's resources and the formulation of relevant policies have also promoted the development of the market. In 2012, the world's first wave of incandescent lamps was banned. For example, South Korea and Japan entered the stage of total ban, and in 2014, the EU, the United States, China and other places will also enter the mainstream incandescent lamp ban phase, which will once again increase the LED lighting penetration rate.
It is expected that in 2014, China's semiconductor lighting industry will continue to maintain rapid growth, with an expected growth rate of around 40. With the full launch of the application market, the production capacity accumulated in recent years has gradually been released. In 2014, the output and output value of epitaxial chips will increase significantly, and the growth rate of output value is expected to reach about 35. The competition in the packaging industry is more intense. It is expected that the growth rate will be around 20, and more new packaging technologies and processes will compete. However, the evolution of LED packaging technology has always been around the theme of the ever-decreasing cost of terminal use. In the application process, with the advantage of China manufacturing, the growth rate of output value in 2014 will exceed 50.
In terms of lighting applications, in 2014, with the further implementation of the plan to eliminate incandescent lamps in various countries, LED lighting will achieve explosive growth, leading the Chinese LED application market, and penetration speed is expected. The overall penetration rate of LED lamps is expected to reach 20. Intelligent lighting will Following the construction of smart cities, the innovative applications of wearable electronics, optical communications, and plant lighting have become the new favorite of the market. With the beginning of the LED lighting market demand and the country's successive introduction of LED-related policies, it will inevitably accelerate the development of the LED industry market, and China's LED lighting industry will also usher in the golden harvest period of the market turning point.
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